ABC of the future

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openAccess

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Journal Title

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Volume Title

A1 Alkuperäisartikkeli tieteellisessä aikakauslehdessä

Date

2023-08

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Language

en

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International Statistical Review, Volume 91, issue 2, pp. 243-268

Abstract

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has advanced in two decades from a seminal idea to a practically applicable inference tool for simulator-based statistical models, which are becoming increasingly popular in many research domains. The computational feasibility of ABC for practical applications has been recently boosted by adopting techniques from machine learning to build surrogate models for the approximate likelihood or posterior and by the introduction of a general-purpose software platform with several advanced features, including automated parallelisation. Here we demonstrate the strengths of the advances in ABC by going beyond the typical benchmark examples and considering real applications in astronomy, infectious disease epidemiology, personalised cancer therapy and financial prediction. We anticipate that the emerging success of ABC in producing actual added value and quantitative insights in the real world will continue to inspire a plethora of further applications across different fields of science, social science and technology.

Description

Funding Information: This work was supported by the European Research Council grant number 742158, European Union's Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme, Grant Agreement number 847912, Research Council of Norway, Grant Numbers 237718, 311188 and 309273, the Academy of Finland grant number 1316602, Australian Research Council Discovery Grants DP170100729 and DP200101414 and Australian Research Council Early Career Researcher Award DE200101070.

Keywords

approximate Bayesian computation, Bayesian inference, likelihood-free inference, simulator-based inference

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Citation

Pesonen, H, Simola, U, Köhn-Luque, A, Vuollekoski, H, Lai, X, Frigessi, A, Kaski, S, Frazier, D T, Maneesoonthorn, W, Martin, G M & Corander, J 2023, ' ABC of the future ', International Statistical Review, vol. 91, no. 2, pp. 243-268 . https://doi.org/10.1111/insr.12522